The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Braves vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-9 ATS.

Braves vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.60 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 34% ROI)

Royals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -19.87% ROI).

• 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 16.52% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 2.12% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -13.49% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-9 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -40.85% ROI).

• 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -25.77% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.45% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -12.24% ROI

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton walked 63 of 728 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 68 of 780 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Charlie Morton had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (427/732) in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 39% (800/2,039) against Charlie Morton in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Brady Singer has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to September 17th, 2022 — tied with Jacob deGrom for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 79% (15/19) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

  
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