The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+125) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Braves vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 64-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 56-54 ATS.
Braves vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Red Sox vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Red Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 55-55 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -5.5% ROI).
- 64-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 1.9% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -10.48% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 56-54 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.39% ROI).
- 54-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -6.04% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.23% ROI
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (279/493) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (20/52) against Charlie Morton on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,048/2,418) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 15 of 123 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,107/2,615) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (117/259) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (614/1,192) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (493/1,016) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.