The Atlanta Braves () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Braves vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 75-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 61-58 ATS.

Braves vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Pirates Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday's matchup with 60.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 65 of his last 113 games (+17.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 away games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 75 games (+15.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+11.45 Units / 143% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 93% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games at home (+16.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 40 games at home (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games at home (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Pirates vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 99 games (+21.22 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 away games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 away games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 away games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 64-58 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.36% ROI).

• 75-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 4.71% ROI
• 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.26% ROI
• 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -8.94% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 61-58 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.3% ROI).

• 46-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -5.11% ROI
• 52-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -9.68% ROI
• 59-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.29% ROI

Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (114/188) against Kyle Wright this season – 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% – 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 21 double plays in 113 opportunities (19%) this season – 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% – 98th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has allowed an OPS of just .582 (267 PA's) against right-handed batters this season – 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 – 86th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 30% (106/358) against Kyle Wright this season – 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% – 83rd Percentile.

Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .421 (221 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .299 – 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .419 (175-for-418) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .331 – 0 Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (527/948) since the start of last season – 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 62% – third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .342 (51-for-149) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season – highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: .260 – 0 Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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