The Atlanta Braves (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Braves vs Phillies Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 92-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 73-73 ATS.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Jake Odorizzi | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 77-71 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.39% ROI).
- 92-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 4.78% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -6.81% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 73-73 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.75% ROI).
- 81-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1% ROI
- 74-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.37% ROI
- 68-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -7.72% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (751/1,667) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (16/202) against Jake Odorizzi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (829/1,729) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (540/1,069) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 9 of 372 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (517/740) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 12.1 (109/9) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.0 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 26 of 736 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.