The Atlanta Braves (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 74-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-69 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-6, 3.73 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 12-6, 3.33 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+24.20 Units / 73% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+14.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+17.70 Units / 295% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+14.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 122 games (+31.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+11.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 away games (+7.99 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+12.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 61 games at home (+9.55 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 62-74 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -9.27% ROI).

• 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -8.8% ROI
• 51-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.9 Units / -24.21% ROI
• 80-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.65 Units / 15.65% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-69 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.73% ROI).

• 80-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.3% ROI
• 63-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -7.41% ROI
• 67-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -1.84% ROI

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 89 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — Bryce Miller has the longest active streak at 118.

Spencer Schwellenbach has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last seven games — Zack Wheeler has the longest active streak at 10.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strikeout rate of 32% (27 SO in 85 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 69% (943/1,366) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (169/502) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have chased 478 of Aaron Nola’s 1,041 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 46%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (374/1,067) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (503/1,566) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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