The Atlanta Braves (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 73-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 66-67 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 7-7, 4.31 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 9-9, 3.47 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+21.20 Units / 151% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+19.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.15 Units / 64% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 119 games (+32.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 away games (+9.04 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+14.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games at home (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 60-73 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -9.86% ROI).

• 73-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -8.55% ROI
• 49-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.8 Units / -25.36% ROI
• 79-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.95 Units / 16.89% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 66-67 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -2.35% ROI).

• 78-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -0.59% ROI
• 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.18% ROI
• 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -0.99% ROI

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .358 (475 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (749 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OPS of .825 (476 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .692 — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 49 of 476 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (114/180) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (272/456) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .359 (90-for-251) against Cristopher Sanchez’s fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 50% of the time (528/1,056) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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