The Philadelphia Phillies are once again on the precipice of eliminating the Atlanta Braves in four games in the NLDS, and we have you covered with our best Braves vs. Phillies Game 4 prediction based on the best MLB odds.
The Braves won an MLB-best 104 games in the regular season and beat the Phillies eight times in 13 head-to-head meetings. However, all that will be for naught if they do not win Game 4 and send the series back to Atlanta for a decisive fifth game.
These two teams have met in the postseason twice before this year, with the Phillies winning both.
Here is our best Braves vs. Phillies prediction (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Braves vs. Phillies prediction: NLDS Game 4
When speaking about momentum in baseball, Hall of Fame manager Earl Weaver once famously said, “Momentum is only as good as tomorrow's starting pitcher.”
Atlanta starting pitcher Spencer Strider may be the ace of the staff, but he's walking into a house of horrors after getting lit up for five earned runs in 2 1/3 innings in Game 3 of last year's NLDS, which the Braves lost 9-1.
Philadelphia is 9-2 in its previous 11 postseason games at Citizens Bank Park, including beating the Braves by a combined 27-6 in that span, and its hot bats should carry into this game.
The Braves tied the major-league record with 307 home runs this season, but no team has hit more long balls since Aug. 1 than the Phillies. Philadelphia tied an MLB postseason record with six home runs on Wednesday, and Bryce Harper's two homers in Game 3 gave him 10 career big flies in the NLDS, the most in history.
Philadelphia is throwing No. 3 starter Ranger Suarez out there on Thursday, but, unlike Strider, who threw 94 pitches in Game 1, Suarez will be much more rested after throwing only 53.
The Phillies' bullpen backed Suarez up with 5 1/3 innings of four-hit scoreless baseball, and the pitching staff as a whole has a 1.64 ERA and 0.89 WHIP this postseason, so it will not be intimidated by Atlanta's powerful lineup.
Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook
Visit our Google News page and click “Follow” (?) for the latest odds, picks and news!
Braves vs. Phillies best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
| Phillies ML | Phillies ML | Phillies ML | Phillies ML | Phillies ML |
| +130 | +130 | +125 | +130 | +130 |
Four of our five best sports betting apps offer the same +130 moneyline odds on the Phillies. Interestingly, though BetMGM is at only +125 on the ML, it has the same -130 odds as Caesars and bet365 to back the Phillies on the run line (+1.5), which will likely sway many bettors to opt for the extra run worth of insurance.
Braves vs. Phillies odds
Braves vs. Phillies odds analysis
FanDuel and DraftKings are the only two of our best sports betting sites with reported line movement thus far, and the moneyline has moved in the Phillies' direction.
FanDuel went from Braves -158/Phillies +134 to Braves -154/Phillies +130. At DraftKings, Philadelphia has shortened from +136 to +130 underdogs. Dating back to the regular season, the Phillies have won seven straight home games against NL East opponents.
All of our best sportsbooks are in unison with an O/U of 8.5 runs, and most are juiced to the Over (as high as -120 at BetMGM, Caesars, and DraftKings), while BetRivers is the only one with lower odds (-104) to back the Over. The Over is 7-1 in Atlanta's last eight road games.
Braves vs. Phillies game info
- When: Thursday, Oct. 12 at 8:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- How to watch: TBS
- Weather: 73 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph NW
Braves-Phillies pick made 10/12/2023 at 6:29 a.m. ET.
Kentucky sports betting launched on Sept. 28 – so sign up with the best Kentucky sportsbook promos now! And check out our list of the best Kentucky sports betting apps!
21+ and present in KY. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
MLB betting odds pages
| World Series Odds | MLB Hits Leader Odds | MLB RBI Leader Odds |
| MLB Rookie of the Year Odds | MLB Wins Leader Odds | MLB Win Totals |
| MLB MVP Odds | MLB Home Run Leader Odds | MLB Best Regular Season Record Odds |
| MLB Cy Young Award Odds | MLB Strikeout Leader Odds | MLB Home Run Derby Odds |
| MLB Stolen Base Leader Odds |
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)