The Atlanta Braves (-185) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+150) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Braves are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 49-49 ATS.
Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 12-3, 2.75 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 2-4, 4.69 ERA
Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 80 games (+29.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 away games (+12.74 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 66 games (+5.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 43-51 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -7.63% ROI).
- 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -8.57% ROI
- 32-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.9 Units / -29.19% ROI
- 57-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 20.63% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 49-49 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.69% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.62% ROI
Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +130 | 7.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (50 Total Bases / 232 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .227 (32 Total Bases / 141 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — 98th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH on the 169 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 87.7.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .396 against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .332 (79-for-238) against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has allowed an OBP of .373 (255 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .306 — third Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (14 SO in 71 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fifth Percentile.