The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Braves vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 12-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 8-9 ATS.

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 72% ROI)
• Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 85% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 75% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 85% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)

Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -9.28% ROI).

• 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 25.14% ROI
• 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 13.07% ROI
• 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -23.3% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -10.2% ROI).

• 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -20.32% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -11.29% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.36% ROI

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has walked 32 of 746 batters (4%) since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .358 (373 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .465 — 95th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (182 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 80.4

Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .169 (373 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (5/28) against Ryan Weathers this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (26/57) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/23) against Ryan Weathers against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

  
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