The Atlanta Braves (-225) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+180) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 97-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 69-85 ATS.
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 75 of his last 104 games (+25.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+18.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 81 of his last 142 games (+17.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+16.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 94 of his last 141 games (+15.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 44 games (+20.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
| Jake Odorizzi | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 80-75 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 97-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 5.08% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -8.54% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 69-85 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -12.26% ROI).
- 53-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.1 Units / -10.73% ROI
- 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.17% ROI
- 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -1.96% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (45/187) against Jake Odorizzi in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (14/64) against Jake Odorizzi with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (367/800) on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (426/861) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .597 (135 Total Bases / 226 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 43 of 271 left-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.0 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (277 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 86.9
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (41/164) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.