The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Braves are 79-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 80-64 ATS.

Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 9-8, 3.35 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 9-12, 4.30 ERA

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 66.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 42 games (+22.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+18.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+15.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 games at home (+18.00 Units / 164% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 131 games (+36.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+13.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 59% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 136 games (+8.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 70 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 136 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 67-78 against the Run Line (-14.25 Units / -8.14% ROI).

• 79-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -21 Units / -8.88% ROI
• 53-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.65 Units / -26.32% ROI
• 87-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.45 Units / 17.68% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 80-64 against the Run Line (+4.93 Units / 2.59% ROI).

• 64-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.21% ROI
• 69-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -3.31% ROI
• 68-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.82 Units / -5.53% ROI

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .176 (12-for-68) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (245/415) against Max Fried this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (95/157) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (569/1,168) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (189/555) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (292/1,052) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (247/682) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 31% of the time (1,040/3,332) in non-two strike counts since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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