The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 54-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 51-52 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 3-5, 4.62 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 2-4, 5.08 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 34 games (+19.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+17.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+29.00 Units / 145% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+16.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 88 games (+29.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 away games (+13.79 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 94 games (+17.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+13.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-58 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -13.24% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -11.2% ROI
- 36-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.6 Units / -27.42% ROI
- 61-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.25 Units / 18.81% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 51-52 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.39% ROI).
- 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 2.87% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 4.72% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -13.32% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (124/353) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 71% (562/795) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Spencer Schwellenbach’s pitches (431/795) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 10 of 212 batters (5%) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.