The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Braves are 54-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 50-52 ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.00 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+18.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+15.20 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 64% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 87 games (+30.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 46 away games (+14.79 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 93 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-57 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -11.83% ROI).

• 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -10.67% ROI
• 35-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.6 Units / -28.6% ROI
• 61-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.35 Units / 19.98% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 50-52 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -3.67% ROI).

• 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.08% ROI
• 53-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.87% ROI
• 44-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.45% ROI

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 707 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (543/1,048) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (284/520) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (701/1,701) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 99th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (560/1,070) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed an OPS of just .450 (195 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has walked 25 of 157 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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