![Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 26 Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 26](https://ekcfbmsotzc.exactdn.com/en/blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/mets-betting-odds-betmgm-4.jpg?strip=all&lossy=1&ssl=1)
The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 54-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 50-52 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+18.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+15.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 87 games (+30.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 46 away games (+14.79 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 93 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-57 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -11.83% ROI).
- 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 35-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.6 Units / -28.6% ROI
- 61-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.35 Units / 19.98% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 50-52 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.87% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.45% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Kodai Senga (NYM) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 707 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (543/1,048) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (284/520) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (701/1,701) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 99th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (560/1,070) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed an OPS of just .450 (195 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 25 of 157 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.