The Atlanta Braves (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 64-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 59-49 ATS.
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 -140 | 8.5 -105 |
| Spencer Strider | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 55-54 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -4.35% ROI).
- 64-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -10.59% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 59-49 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 9.39% ROI).
- 69-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.75 Units / 11.18% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 6.14% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -14.51% ROI
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (133 SO in 347 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (141/353) against Spencer Strider this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (54-for-311) against Spencer Strider this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has allowed an OPS of just .298 (90 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .692 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 63% (256 SO in 405 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .197 (609 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (551/1,337) against Jacob deGrom since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has not allowed a walk in his last 103 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 25th, 2021 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.