The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 63-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 57-48 ATS.

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 66 of his last 94 games (+22.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 56 of his last 94 games (+18.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 63 games (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 92 games (+15.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+14.00 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games at home (+19.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games at home (+15.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 80 games (+20.77 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 43 games at home (+20.02 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 105 games (+17.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+10.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 105 games (+9.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 54-52 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.21% ROI).

• 63-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.68% ROI
• 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.6% ROI
• 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -7.98% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-48 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 7.69% ROI).

• 67-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.1 Units / 11.05% ROI
• 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 3.73% ROI
• 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -11.98% ROI

Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.168 (91 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .758 — first Percentile.

Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 56% (211/378) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Ian Anderson has allowed an OBP of .484 (91 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .382 (29-for-76) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.

Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (107/469) against Taijuan Walker on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 103 of Taijuan Walker’s 463 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strikeout rate of just 27% (7 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (240/679) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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