The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 17-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 13-13 ATS.

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+7.20 Units / 50% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+1.85 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 26 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 12-14 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -4.98% ROI).

• 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 11.99% ROI
• 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 22.01% ROI
• 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -30.38% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 2.85% ROI).

• 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.54% ROI
• 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -15.45% ROI
• 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 7.04% ROI

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .396 (157 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 16% (5/31) against Max Fried against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (25 Total Bases / 139 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to September 22nd, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 12.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has an ERA of 8.55 (20.0 IP) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.10 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .447 (17-for-38) against David Peterson’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — first Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (27 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.

  
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