The Atlanta Braves (-160) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+135) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 100-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 79-81 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Avisail Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Jake Odorizzi | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 83-77 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.31% ROI).
- 100-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 79-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 73-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -7.8% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 79-81 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -6.29% ROI).
- 68-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.55 Units / -14.01% ROI
- 69-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.05 Units / -11.88% ROI
- 82-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 3.67% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (9/92) against Jake Odorizzi on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (49/198) against Jake Odorizzi in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (223/436) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (15/70) against Jake Odorizzi with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (103/250) against Braxton Garrett on sliders this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 90th Percentile.
56% of Braxton Garrett’s non-fastball strikeouts are located inside this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (238/682) against Braxton Garrett this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 124 of Braxton Garrett’s 268 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 46%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.