The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+110) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 69-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-63 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 72 games (+18.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 59 of his last 103 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 69 of his last 103 games (+14.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 101 games (+13.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+17.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games at home (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.22 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+17.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 59-56 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 69-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.44% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -10.92% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-63 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -14.21% ROI).
- 50-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -13.69% ROI
- 50-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 58-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 2.8% ROI
Bryce Elder: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (146/199) of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett allowed an OPS of 1.190 (21 PA’s) — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .679 — second Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has allowed an OPS of .716 (29 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .500 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (190/521) against Braxton Garrett this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.