The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+120) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 66-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 50-61 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Jake Odorizzi | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-55 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- 66-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.48% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -12.01% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 50-61 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -13.52% ROI).
- 50-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -11.76% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.19% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.05% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (147 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (22 Total Bases / 108 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .413 (26-for-63) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 10th Percentile.
Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 41% (82/200) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (128/325) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (201/443) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (158/403) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.