The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+165) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-11 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 1-0, 3.49 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-0, 2.46 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 73% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 153 games (+17.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.34 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -15.85% ROI).

• 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.93% ROI
• 9-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 51.52% ROI
• 2-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -59.47% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-11 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -62.26% ROI).

• 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -68.34% ROI
• 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 24.26% ROI
• 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.19% ROI

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (95/219) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has averaged 78.0 MPH on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 48% (162/336) against Chris Sale with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (179/370) against Chris Sale with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Meyer has allowed a BABIP of .103 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Max Meyer’s pitches (65/162) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.

Max Meyer has allowed an OBP of just .148 (27 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 39% (38/97) against Max Meyer this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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