The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Braves vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 84-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-61 ATS.
Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 84-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 5.6% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -11.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 73-61 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 2.29% ROI).
- 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 8.55% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -7.21% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.5% ROI
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (58/149) against Charlie Morton in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 11th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (557/1,244) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — fifth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (578/1,705) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (164/561) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (540/1,069) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (502/1,166) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has walked 50 of 528 right-handed batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Robbie Ray has had third base stolen on him 11 times since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.