The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Braves vs Mariners Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 84-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-61 ATS.
Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 65 of his last 87 games (+25.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+21.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 72 of his last 125 games (+17.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+14.95 Units / 107% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 83 of his last 125 games (+13.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 54 games at home (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 84-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 5.6% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -11.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 73-61 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 2.29% ROI).
- 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 8.55% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -7.21% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.5% ROI
Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .434 (136 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (89/154) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (24 Total Bases / 121 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has walked 28 of 646 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 94th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (5/50) against George Kirby with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 53.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .384 (56 GB hits out of 146 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has a strikeout rate of just 18% (19 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.