The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 50-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-46 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 11-3, 2.72 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 6-4, 3.08 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 75 games (+28.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 away games (+13.94 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 91 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 41-48 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -6.73% ROI).
- 50-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -8.05% ROI
- 30-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.6 Units / -29.44% ROI
- 54-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.95 Units / 21.22% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-46 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -5.88% ROI).
- 45-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -4.05% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.63% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -10.14% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
19 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 43% (20 SO in 47 PAs) over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (34-for-220) against Chris Sale’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .199 (72-for-362) against Chris Sale this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .328 (126 Total Bases / 384 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .266 (685 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 92nd Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .596 (414 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .688 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .314 (202 Total Bases / 644 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 95th Percentile.