The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Braves are 51-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-47 ATS.

Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.03 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 2-6, 6.14 ERA

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 76 games (+27.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+12.94 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-48 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -5.27% ROI).

• 51-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.33% ROI
• 31-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.6 Units / -28.12% ROI
• 54-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.75 Units / 19.76% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-47 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -7.15% ROI).

• 45-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.89% ROI
• 48-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.6% ROI
• 41-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -11.21% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 689 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (250/459) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (390/872) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (616/1,511) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (78 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .404 (42-for-104) against Slade Cecconi when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.

Slade Cecconi has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 18th — Mitch Keller has the longest active streak at 5.

Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .645 (20 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .400 — sixth Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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