The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Braves are 27-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 25-23 ATS.

Braves vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-1, 3.66 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-0, 1.48 ERA

Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+16.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+14.75 Units / 64% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+17.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.90 Units / 94% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+13.90 Units / 93% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 30 games (+20.45 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 31 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 22-22 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 1.81% ROI).

• 27-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.7% ROI
• 14-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -34.17% ROI
• 28-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.6 Units / 25.77% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 25-23 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -4.24% ROI).

• 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 8.85% ROI
• 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -18.62% ROI
• 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 9.38% ROI

Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 39 of 338 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (293/730) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 62 of 617 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 37 of 333 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .132 (21-for-159) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .171 (41 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (23/140) against Javier Assad this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

  
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