The Atlanta Braves (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Braves are 56-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 56-50 ATS.
Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-4, 6.47 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+16.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 away games (+13.80 Units / 134% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+26.50 Units / 126% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+27.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.79 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+7.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+12.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 106 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 106 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 46-59 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -12.6% ROI).
- 56-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -10.41% ROI
- 38-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.6 Units / -25.78% ROI
- 62-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 17.23% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 56-50 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 2.87% ROI).
- 61-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 7.15% ROI
- 57-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.35 Units / 8.94% ROI
- 43-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.95 Units / -16.99% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has averaged 89.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — fourth Percentile.
Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (82/584) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (176/301) against Bryce Elder since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (215/377) against Bryce Elder since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .154 (4-for-26) against Rob Zastryzny this month (9 games) — 14th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .242 — 87th Percentile.
Rob Zastryzny has a strikeout rate of just 29% (5 SO in 17 PAs) with two-strikes this month (7 games) — 12th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Rob Zastryzny’s pitches (72/119) this month (9 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Rob Zastryzny has allowed a slugging percentage of just .192 (5 Total Bases / 26 ABs) this month (9 games) — tied for 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .406 — 92nd Percentile.