The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Braves are 56-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-50 ATS.

Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 0-0, 2.70 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 9-3, 3.60 ERA

Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.90 Units / 211% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+15.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 away games (+12.10 Units / 130% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games at home (+20.40 Units / 102% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 90 games (+29.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 away games (+11.79 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 away games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 105 games (+8.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 46-58 against the Run Line (-13.75 Units / -11.17% ROI).

• 56-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.88% ROI
• 37-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.6 Units / -26.91% ROI
• 62-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.15 Units / 18.35% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 55-50 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.66% ROI).

• 60-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 6.47% ROI
• 56-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 8.16% ROI
• 43-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.85 Units / -16.2% ROI

Brewers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Grant Holmes has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 66.2.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (4/17) against Grant Holmes this month (5 games) — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .120 (3-for-25) against Grant Holmes this month (5 games) — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 92nd Percentile.

Grant Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .367 (29 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .721 — 92nd Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (150/785) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .340 (18-for-53) against Colin Rea on low fastballs this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB*; League Avg: .268 — 16th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (27/149) against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .466 (76 Total Bases / 163 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 14th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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