Bowling Green vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Quick Lane Bowl
Bowling Green vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Quick Lane Bowl

The Bowling Green Falcons (8-4) visit Ford Field to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-9) on Dec. 26 in Detroit, MI.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs Minnesota Prediction, Quick Lane Bowl

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this bowl game with 58.7% confidence.

Bowling Green vs Minnesota Spread Prediction, Quick Lane Bowl

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+11.50 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bowling Green Player Prop Bets Today

  • Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jaison Patterson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Terion Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Austin Osborne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Corey Crooms Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brevyn Spann-Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.17% ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 46.28% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 3-9 against the spread this college football season (-7 Units / -52.63% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -17.98% ROI
  • Minnesota is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Minnesota is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Bowling Green is 10-2 (.714) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .549

Bowling Green is 2-11 (.154) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– 25th-worst in FBS; Average: .339

Bowling Green is 9-2 (.643) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .472

Bowling Green is 7-3 (.700) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 8th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

Minnesota is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .295

Minnesota is 15-8 (.625) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 39th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Minnesota is 17-5 (.739) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 24th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Minnesota is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Minnesota’s QBs has thrown for 1,838 passing yards in 12 games (just 153.2 YPG) this season — ninth-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 192.7 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s TEs has 28 receptions in 12 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for ninth-best among FBS defenses.

  
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