Boston College vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Boston College vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Boston College Eagles (4-1) visit David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT< /span>.

Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Boston College vs. Virginia Over/Under is 53 total points.

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Boston College vs Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+12.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.55 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boston College Player Prop Bets Today

  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Kye Robichaux has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Malachi Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kobe Pace has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tony Muskett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tony Muskett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).

  • Boston College is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 67.98% ROI
  • Boston College is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
  • Boston College is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI).

  • Virginia is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 4% ROI
  • Virginia is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • Virginia is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Boston College is 8-3 (.727) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535

Boston College is 8-3 (.727) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Boston College is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Boston College is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .698

Virginia is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Virginia is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .543

Virginia is 5-7 (.417) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Virginia is 5-7 (.417) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Virginia’s WRs has 252 receptions in 16 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s WRs has 252 receptions in 16 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 10.0 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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