Boston College vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Boston College vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Boston College Eagles (2-0) visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-115).

The Boston College vs. Missouri Over/Under is 54 total points.

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Boston College vs Missouri Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 88.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Missouri, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 60.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.55 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boston College Player Prop Bets Today

  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Kye Robichaux has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mookie Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Theo Wease Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • Boston College is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 605% ROI
  • Boston College is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Boston College is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Missouri is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Missouri is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Missouri is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Boston College is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Boston College is 5-13 (.278) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2022 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Boston College is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .511

Boston College is 3-12 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Missouri is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Missouri is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .585

Missouri is 6-1 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .438

Missouri is 8-2 (.571) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417

Missouri has gained 563 yards on 63 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri has gained 563 yards on 63 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.

  
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