Real Madrid have won four of the previous eight Champions League titles as they collide with Borussia Dortmund in Saturday's Champions League final, as we delve into an appealing Dortmund vs. Real Madrid parlay based on the best Champions League odds.
Real Madrid are arguably the most storied and successful club in world football, and they have a chance to win their 15th Champions League title at London's iconic Wembley Stadium. Borussia Dortmund have won the most venerated club football title once and are appearing in their third final.
Aired on CBS and Paramount+, Saturday's grandstand final kicks off at 3 p.m. ET. With their 82% success rate in Champions League finals, Los Blancos are the consensus favorites across our best sports betting sites.
Accompanying our Dortmund-Madrid prediction, here is our best Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid parlay for Saturday's Champions League final (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid parlay
(Odds via DraftKings, and see our parlay calculator)
- Vinicius Junior to score or assist (-125) ????
- Niclas Fullkrug Over 0.5 shots on target (-125) ???
- Madrid ML (-160) ????
Combined odds: +427 via DraftKings
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SGP predictions for Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid
Vinicius Junior has five goals and five assists through nine Champions League matches, contributing to 38% of Real Madrid's goals despite missing three games. His blinding pace should cause problems for German centerback Mats Hummels, whose 35-year-old legs have lost a step or two. I expect Hummels to play a slightly deeper line to avoid being beaten for pace, allowing Vinicius to drop into the pocket and create in front of Dortmund's rearguard.
Either way, there is a high probability Vinicius will be in on the act if Madrid score a goal, which they have in every match away from the Bernabeu since the calendar turned to 2024. The -125 odds imply a probability of 55.56%; o n its own, it would pay a profit of $8 on a $10 wager.
Niclas Fullkrug has 10 shots on target in 12 Champions League matches, an average of 0.83 per match. However, his shots per 90 minutes are slightly higher at 0.95. While tried and tested, Madrid's defense is by no means watertight. They have conceded 4.75 shots on target per Champions League contest, which should provide The Dortmund frontman enough opportunities to get at least one attempt on target.
This leg of the parlay has the same odds as Vinicius securing at least one goal or assist, which would pay a profit of $8 on a winning $10 bet on its own.
Anything can happen in a one-off football match, no matter how much is at stake. Dortmund have proven themselves worthy adversaries, swatting aside Atletico Madrid and PSG en route to the final. However, Real Madrid have more game-breakers, experience, winning pedigree, and, more than any c lub in world football, the intangible of being able to pull off the miraculous.
The Galacticos have won 14 of 17 Champions League finals and have players all over the pitch that can deal the decisive blow, including Vinicius, Rodrygo, and Jude Bellingham, who have 14 goals combined in the competition. Head coach Carlos Ancelotti has won a record six Champions League titles, while Luka Modric and Dani Carvajal have five each, tied for the most among players.
While Dortmund can pull off the upset if everything goes their way, Madrid should add another piece of silverware to their crammed trophy cabinet. This leg of the prop has odds of -160 and an implied probability of 61.54%.
The three legs have +427 odds combined, which implies a probability of 18.98%. A winning $10 bet will pay a $42.70 profit.
Borussia Dortmund-Real Madrid SGP picks made Friday at 12:30 p.m. ET.
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