The Boise State Broncos (1-2) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in San Diego.
Boise State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Boise State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 45 total points.
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Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 69.3% confidence.
Boise State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise State and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Boise State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Taylen Green has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Billy Bowens has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Taylen Green has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Eric McAlister has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best San Diego State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Diego State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mark Redman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jalen Mayden has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Mayden has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Kenan Christon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mekhi Shaw has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise State is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Boise State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -12.42% ROI
- Boise State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Boise State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- San Diego State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -30.77% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Boise State is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Boise State is 13-1 (.812) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .434
Boise State is 9-1 (.750) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Boise State is 11-5 (.688) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .420