Boise St vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1
Boise St vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

The Boise State Broncos 0-0 visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Boise State vs Georgia Southern Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 81.5% confidence.

Boise State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and Georgia Southern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)

  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St was 7-6 against the spread last college football season (+0.45 Units / 2.93% ROI).

  • Boise State was 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Boise State was 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Boise State was 4-10 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 4-8 against the spread this college football season (-4.8 Units / -33.68% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern was 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -15.32% ROI
  • Georgia Southern was 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • Georgia Southern was 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI

Boise State is 11-6 (.647) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Boise State is 10-5 (.588) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Boise State was 4-1 (.800) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415

Boise State is 15-3 (.682) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

Georgia Southern is 6-4 (.600) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .495

Georgia Southern is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .148

Georgia Southern was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .394

Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 573 attempts last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 3,929 passing yards in 13 games (302.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 263.1 passing yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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