The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-2 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-1, 6.24 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 3-4 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -29.68% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -6.9% ROI
• 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI
• 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 32.84% ROI).

• 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 70.86% ROI
• 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -59.51% ROI
• 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 55.48% ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (143 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 39% (20 SO in 52 PAs) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (311/631) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .313 (51-for-163) against Yusei Kikuchi when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 38% (13/34) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (137/219) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 57% (58/101) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (7/16) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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