The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-8 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.55 Units / 73% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -10.34% ROI).

• 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.83% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.46% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.33% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 31.22% ROI).

• 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 7.54% ROI
• 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -30.33% ROI
• 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 20.72% ROI

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of 1.512 (94 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 1.045 — 0 Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strike rate of 92% (46/50) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 51 of 411 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strike rate of 74% (404/549) on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (25/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (39/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (41/79) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.

  
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