The Toronto Blue Jays (-165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+140) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Blue Jays vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 59-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 50-57 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 43 away games (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 away games (+15.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+14.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 63 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 40 games at home (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.15 Units / 51% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.10 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 56% ROI)

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 65 games (+22.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 95 games (+5.50 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-59 against the Run Line (-15.6 Units / -11.96% ROI).

• 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -9.35% ROI
• 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.15% ROI
• 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -8.83% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-57 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.51% ROI).

• 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.49% ROI
• 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.85% ROI
• 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -8.5% ROI

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .431 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (372/917) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (163/375) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 80% (264/332) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Archer has thrown his slider 52% of the time (179/342) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (48/110) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown off-speed pitches 71% of the time (243/342) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.

Chris Archer has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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