Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21

The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).

The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-11 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.75 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eric Haase has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 19.54% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 20.04% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.76% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-11 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -23% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 34.68% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -44.3% ROI

Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted .204 (85-for-416) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — sixth Percentile.

Hitters swung at 56% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (1,602/2,878) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has 98 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of the 2021 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Michael Lorenzen changeup was September 16th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 25 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.

Michael Lorenzen walked 15 of 91 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.

  
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