The Toronto Blue Jays (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Thursday, April 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-5 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 161 games (+5.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 87 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 87 away games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 82 games at home (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games at home (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 87 games at home (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -40% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -6.67% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -66.44% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -64.17% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -37.04% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 28.68% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 39% (585/1,488) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a BABIP of .363 in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (249/597) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has 123 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2020 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Jordan Lyles this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.