Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 5

The Toronto Blue Jays (-185) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+150) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-4 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 74.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Eaton 0.5 +1200 0.5
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +1000 0.5
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
George Springer 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Eaton 0.5 -140 0.5 +110
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
George Springer 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Eaton 0.5 +340 0.5 -550
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
George Springer 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 -140 5.5 +105
Zack Greinke 3.5 +135 3.5 -185

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 82 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 86 away games (+2.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 86 away games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 86 away games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 150 games (+9.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games at home (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -64.46% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -26.36% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.68% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -25.89% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -61.11% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -57% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -25.44% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 16.04% ROI

Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .487 (582 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .247 (24-for-97) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (125/374) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Zack Greinke had a strikeout rate of just 26% (73/281) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (54/157) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

  
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