The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-140) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 65-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 61-72 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 7-3, 4.00 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-11, 4.20 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 39 games (+36.85 Units / 94% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 50 games (+35.20 Units / 70% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 67 away games (+4.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 133 games (+7.55 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-69 against the Run Line (-14.25 Units / -7.84% ROI).

• 65-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
• 72-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 4.76% ROI
• 59-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.7 Units / -14.01% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.15 Units / -10.88% ROI).

• 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -0.96% ROI
• 69-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 4.5% ROI
• 57-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.3 Units / -12.63% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Bowden Francis this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .147 (95 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of just .370 (96 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.458 (89 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.032 — first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .986 (73 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .589 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (48/156) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 68% (621/914) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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