The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 65-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 60-72 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-12, 4.43 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 11-6, 5.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 38 games (+37.85 Units / 100% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+36.20 Units / 74% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 46 away games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 132 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-68 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -7% ROI).

• 65-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -6.97% ROI
• 72-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 5.62% ROI
• 58-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.7 Units / -14.78% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 60-72 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -11.77% ROI).

• 68-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -1.59% ROI
• 69-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 5.37% ROI
• 56-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.3 Units / -13.41% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (27/181) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (234/1,121) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (168 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.8

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (97/541) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Brayan Bello has walked 10 of 61 left-handed batters (16%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Brayan Bello has walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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