Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23

The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 85-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 83-71 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Curtis Mead 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Josh Lowe 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Curtis Mead 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Curtis Mead 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Josh Lowe 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Glasnow 7.5 -115 7.5 -110
Chris Bassitt 4.5 -150 4.5 +110

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+15.84 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.73 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 away games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 away games (+3.26 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games at home (+17.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+15.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 78 games at home (+10.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 87 of their last 154 games (+10.54 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+10.42 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 70-83 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • 66-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -12.45% ROI
  • 80-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 4.19% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 83-71 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 7.47% ROI).

  • 94-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 3.91% ROI
  • 82-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 4.4% ROI
  • 68-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -12.46% ROI

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.0 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (192 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Chris Bassitt has averaged 77.8 MPH on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — second Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.3 MPH on the 249 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 16% (17/107) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 58% (81 SO in 139 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 56% (146 SO in 259 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .096 (43-for-450) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .168 — 100th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article