Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 17
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 17

The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-145) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 72-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 66-84 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 10-13, 4.22 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 11-8, 3.69 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+19.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+19.50 Units / 279% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 away games (+16.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games (+18.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games at home (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games at home (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-76 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.14% ROI).

  • 72-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -7.06% ROI
  • 77-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.18 Units / 1.33% ROI
  • 68-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -10.41% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 66-84 against the Run Line (-31.05 Units / -15.65% ROI).

  • 71-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -10% ROI
  • 68-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -8.1% ROI
  • 74-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.88 Units / -0.54% ROI

Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -1000
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (33/210) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Chris Bassitt in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (26 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .692 — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.9 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 79.6 — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .436 (157 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 37% (38 SO in 102 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 93rd Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (20 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 92nd Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has an average spin rate of 1948.4 RPM on curveballs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 2532.4 — third Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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