Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 5
Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 5

The Toronto Blue Jays (-125) visit LECOM Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Bradenton, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 5-5 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 2-6 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -47.13% ROI).

  • 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -37.11% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -26.7% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 20.98% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Pirates are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.99 Units / -7.34% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.22 Units / -19.06% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 16.56% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -22.87% ROI

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .139 (52-for-374) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 91st Percentile.

Jose Berrios struck out 47 batters on three pitches in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

46 of Jose Berrios’ 184 strikeouts (25%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 91st Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Jones is making his MLB debut today.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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