Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-10 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-0, 2.46 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 3.14 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+12.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-9 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -4.64% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -9.62% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.48% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-10 against the Run Line (+3.27 Units / 13.41% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.89 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.42 Units / 6.13% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -12.52% ROI

Padres vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Padres vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Xander Bogaerts (SD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Padres vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Yariel Rodriguez has limited playing time.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Ronel Blanco has the longest active streak at 22.1.

Matt Waldron has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (24/47) of opposing batters this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.

Matt Waldron has located his pitches away 58% of the time (40/69) when behind in the count this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (3/37) against Matt Waldron this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 11th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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