Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 5
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 5

The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 91-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-62 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-89 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -12% ROI).

    • 91-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -5.74% ROI
    • 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.86% ROI
    • 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -8.55% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-62 against the Run Line (+22.45 Units / 10.6% ROI).

    • 82-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.25 Units / 14.54% ROI
    • 71-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.05 Units / -10.84% ROI
    • 83-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 2.93% ROI

    Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

    Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (17/27) against Michael Baumann — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

    Spenser Watkins has allowed an OBP of .410 (161 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .321 — second Percentile.

    Division opponents are hitting .455 (15-for-33) against Spenser Watkins — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .455 (15-for-33) against Spenser Watkins — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.

    Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

      
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