The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 91-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-62 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 69% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-89 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -12% ROI).
- 91-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.86% ROI
- 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -8.55% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-62 against the Run Line (+22.45 Units / 10.6% ROI).
- 82-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.25 Units / 14.54% ROI
- 71-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.05 Units / -10.84% ROI
- 83-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 2.93% ROI
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 91 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Mitch White has walked 3 of 111 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Mitch White has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 6th — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 11.
Mitch White has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 81 opportunities (5%) this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.
Michael Baumann: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (17/27) against Michael Baumann — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (11/19) against Michael Baumann against right-handed batters — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — fifth Percentile.