The Toronto Blue Jays (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 90-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-61 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 118 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.87 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 139 games (+30.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 139 games (+25.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 70-89 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -12.78% ROI).
- 90-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -6.15% ROI
- 81-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 74-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -9.17% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-61 against the Run Line (+24 Units / 11.42% ROI).
- 82-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.25 Units / 15.2% ROI
- 71-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -10.31% ROI
- 82-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 2.38% ROI
Jose Berrios: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .324 (107 Total Bases / 330 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (152 Total Bases / 362 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (196-for-672) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .475 (319 Total Bases / 672 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .158 (38 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .283 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .223 (78-for-350) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .363 (127 Total Bases / 350 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .265 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .278 (104-for-374) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .222 — fifth Percentile.