The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 39-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-49 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-7, 4.75 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 6-9, 3.87 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-49 against the Run Line (-21.3 Units / -18.18% ROI).

• 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -14.68% ROI
• 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.6% ROI
• 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.45% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 40-49 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -12.45% ROI).

• 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -1.22% ROI
• 35-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -19.74% ROI
• 50-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 11.59% ROI

Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (32 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .327 (17-for-52) against Kevin Gausman’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — third Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 85 of Kevin Gausman’s 461 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (330/630) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 41% (51 SO in 123 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .286 (54-for-189) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 11th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .414 (92 Total Bases / 222 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — fourth Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (29 Total Bases / 112 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 84th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
Read Full Article