The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-8, 4.64 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-5, 3.49 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -14.6% ROI).

• 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.85 Units / -12.68% ROI
• 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.54% ROI
• 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.6% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-47 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4% ROI).

• 45-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
• 51-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 8.31% ROI
• 39-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -16.91% ROI

Giants vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (545/723) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 85 of Kevin Gausman’s 464 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 29% (126 SO in 432 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (945/1,244) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Hicks has thrown 910 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has walked 22 of 162 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has a strike rate of just 58% (938/1,615) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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